Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don’t Have All the Facts

Thinking in Bets by Annie Duke — a National Bestseller — teaches how to make smarter decisions by embracing uncertainty instead of fearing it.

Drawing on her experience as a World Series of Poker champion and business consultant, Duke explains that good decisions don’t always lead to good outcomes—and vice versa—because luck and incomplete information always play a role.

Using examples from poker, business, sports, and politics, she shows how to think probabilistically: assess what you know, what you don’t, and the odds of success. By learning to say “I’m not sure” and focusing on better decision processes rather than perfect results, you’ll make wiser choices, reduce emotional bias, and thrive amid uncertainty.